We hit on two of the four bets, which wouldn’t be bad on straight wagers, but we’re trying to strike it rich here. We’re on to Week 2, though, so here’s this week’s best-bet parlay. Therefore, I am willing to lay 2 units here for my NFL Week 2 pick. Jets under 42.5 points -107 2 units. Week 2 NFL totals from other PFN Betting Analysts Chris Smith’s Best Bet: Vikings-Colts O47.5 -115 for 1U. Both of these teams are coming off disappointing losses as Week 1 favorites.
Not a good start to last week, folks. A 1-3 record is not where you want to be after the first week, but that’s why we said to ease into the NFL season when it comes to picks.
The Week 2 advice is a bit different than Week 1 although it still kind of has to do with gambling decision making. If we say to wade into shallow waters during Week 1then Week 2 really has to do with overreactions. Lines will go haywire based on one game of football. The Cowboys are unbeatable. The Patriots are going to beat the Dolphins by 20. The Falcons stink and the Bears may never score an offensive touchdown. Those are the things books want us to think. They want us to believe that whatever happened Week 1 will happen again in Week 2. Teams will be overvalued. Totals will be too low or too high. We can make some decisions and we should stick to those decisions — such as never betting on Joe Flacco as a favorite ever again — but other decisions we have to make thinking if the book wants us to bet one way or the other.
For the newcomers, this isn’t a normal betting article. I won’t pick every game. I will actually use over/unders for game totals and team totals. I’ll throw in a prop bet if it’s interesting and on the board. I will definitely throw in teasers and parlays.
A quick reminder on teasers: On two-team teasers we get six points to play with. Let’s use completely hypothetical Pittsburgh v. Cleveland line that is listed Pittsburgh -9, and an Atlanta v. Tampa Bay line that is listed Atlanta – 7 as an example. That means we can move that line six points either way — so Steelers -3 or Cleveland +15. To do so we must move another line as well. In this case, our teaser bet is Pittsburgh -3 and Atlanta -1. We must win both bets. Meaning if Pittsburgh were to win by three — a push — we’d lose. If Atlanta wins by one, same thing. We must win each side. Teaser bets are also known as sucker’s bets because they are actually pretty difficult to hit. Everyone puts money on it thinking it’s an easy win and then they lose. We have crumpled betting tickets in our hands and maybe we use them to wipe the tears. Teasers come in the six-point, 10-point, and 14-point variety. We can do three-team six-point teasers for better odds. We will always explain it.
Here’s my normal caveat: please, please ease into the first weeks — if you’re hypothetically betting on games. Teams can surprise you. Teams will disappoint you. It’s tough to get a good handle on the NFL until at least five to six weeks into the season. Find out what teams you like and what teams you don’t like and stick to it. By the middle of the season, Las Vegas will have adjusted and there won’t be a chance to sneak in some value here and there.
And remember, this is just for fun. Because watching football is supposed to be fun. Alright, let’s get started.
Home teams in CAPS, odds, as always, lines used are the mode listed here. Games will be listed at -110 unless denoted otherwise.
I have nobody to blame but myself. I should have known better than to trust the Cleveland Browns to win a football game. It’s been a loooooong time since they’ve consistently been able to do so, but that didn’t stop me from including them in my Week 1 parlay.
Best Nfl Parlay Bets Week 2
It was the only game I missed. The Bills pulled off the “upset” over the Jets. The Chiefs easily covered in Jacksonville. The Eagles and Ravens took care of business against bad teams. The Saints pulled it out late against the Texans. We were one Cleveland win away from turning $10 into $114.
Let’s take another crack at it … here is the $100 NFL parlay of Week 2
Point spreads
Colts (+3) over Titans
This line is an overreaction to what the Titans did in Cleveland on Sunday. Well, I don’t think Tennessee is going to have a plus-3 turnover margin again and their opponents aren’t going to commit 18 penalties either. And if it weren’t for three uncharacteristic misses by Adam Vinatieri, Indy would have beaten one of the better AFC teams on the road in Week 1. The Colts are the better team and they’re getting points. I’m taking them.
Confidence level: 8/10
Cowboys (-4.5) over Redskins
The Cowboys looked GOOD. Sure, it was the Giants. But the Redskins are the Redskins, so it’s not like Dallas is getting a huge step up in competition this week. Washington’s defense was exposed in the second half in Philly, and Cowboys offensive coordinator Kellen Moore will able to exploit those weaknesses. The Cowboys will win by a touchdown.
Confidence level: 8.5/10
Money lines
Patriots (-2000) over Dolphins
I mean, why not? It’s free money.
Confidence level: 10/10
Ravens (-270) over Cardinals
The Cardinals needed a furious comeback just to tie with the Lions at home. Now they’re traveling across the country for a 10:00 AM PST start against one of the nastiest defenses I saw in Week 1. And the Cardinals offensive line is a mess? This will be an easy victory for Baltimore.
Confidence level: 10/10
![Spread Spread](/uploads/1/3/4/0/134071846/889096974.jpg)
Best Nfl Bets Week 2
Chiefs (-310) over Raiders
Nfl Picks Prediction Scores
The Raiders looked good on Monday night. I’m not going to deny that, but Derek Carr is not keeping up with Patrick Mahomes. I can see Oakland putting up some points in this one, which is why I’m avoiding the spread. But Andy’s Reid crew should have no problem ripping through the Raiders defense.
Confidence level: 9/10
Broncos (+125) over Bears
![Nfl best bets week 3 2019 Nfl best bets week 3 2019](/uploads/1/3/4/0/134071846/256518983.jpg)
I know what you’re thinking: The Bears were a playoff team a year ago, and the Broncos looked awful in Week 1. Well, have you ever looked at Denver’s home record in September? They don’t lose! It’s one of the great home-field advantages in the NFL. Teams are still getting into shape at this point in the season and the Denver altitude does not help.
Confidence level: 7/10